October may be too Late for Dems to Catch Republicans in New Jersey and Virginia

Republican Bob McDonnell appears to have re-established a solid lead in Virginia. Taking four recent polls into consideration (Rasmussen, SurveyUSA, Insider Advantage and PPP [a Democratic polling organization]), it looks like 51 for McDonnell to 43 for Democrat Creigh Deeds. Unless the Democrats can come up with something more meaningful than a thirty year old masters thesis, this looks like a pick-up for the GOP.

Likewise taking four recent polls into consideration in the New Jersey race (Quinnipiac, Democracy Corps [D], Rasmussen and Strategic Vision [R]), Republican Chris Christie appears to be slightly ahead, 44 to 39 for incumbent Democrat Jon Corzine to 9 for independent Chris Daggert. Although Christie’s lead is narrow, there probably is some “hidden support” for him. With high negatives for Corzine, it is likely that the undecideds are mostly undecided about whether to vote for the Republican or the independent. It is also likely that, as the day of the election nears, some of the initial support enjoyed by the independent will shift to Christie given that it is now clear that the independent does not have a realistic chance of winning.

One Deep Blue, one trending Blue; both go GOP Red 2009.

Last 5 posts by Eric Dondero

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